Another Deep Rate Cut From The Fed
The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee today announced a rate cut of 75 basis points to 2-1/4 percent.
The Fed says:
Recent information indicates that the outlook for economic activity has weakened further. Growth in consumer spending has slowed and labor markets have softened. Financial markets remain under considerable stress, and the tightening of credit conditions and the deepening of the housing contraction are likely to weigh on economic growth over the next few quarters.The AP says that the markets were initially displeased with the cut because they were hoping that the Fed would just ban interest altogether and start handing out free toasters with every loan:Inflation has been elevated, and some indicators of inflation expectations have risen. The Committee expects inflation to moderate in coming quarters, reflecting a projected leveling-out of energy and other commodity prices and an easing of pressures on resource utilization. Still, uncertainty about the inflation outlook has increased. It will be necessary to continue to monitor inflation developments carefully.
While the cut was larger than the Fed's normal quarter-point moves, investors were initially disappointed that the central bank did not cut rates by a full percentage point.The Dow Jones industrial average fell 100 points within two minutes of the Fed's mid-afternoon announcement but it then resumed climbing and was up nearly 200 points within the first half-hour after the announcement.
Fed Cuts Rates by 3/4 Percentage Point [Portfolio]
Fed Cuts by Three-Quarter Point, Suggests More Reductions Likely [Wall Street Journal]
Federal Open Market Committee Statement [FED]
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Comments:
So how is this going to benefit me, Joe Consumer?
I carry no credit card debt.
I have a reasonable mortgage rate with PMI (still above 80% LTV).
My school loans are consilidated at around 4.5%.
My car loan is 1.9%.
Unless I start buying irresponsibly, the only thing this is going to do is continue to kill my high-yield savings account. Am I missing something?
@sleze69: Are you invested in anything? If so, it's going to affect those companies and their growth...maybe.
@sleze69: If you carry no credit card debt, have a reasonable mortgage rate, consilidated school loans and a car loan of 1.9% then you sir, are not "Joe Consumer".
Feel free to take that as either a compliment or an insult. ;)
It's not like inflation is a threat anymore. As long as energy remains dirt cheap and the dollar stays high, we can weather a slight downturn in the economy. And if you ever have a temporary money crunch, you can always count on your home equity to get you through a tough time as real estate will always be the safest place to put your money.
Did I mention that I just woke up from a 7 year coma? Now let me check on what's been happening in the rest of the worl....OH MY GOD!!!!!!!
@sleze69: Nope, you pretty much got it. You're gonna take it up the backside. Me too. Thank god ING doesn't adjust rates til the end of the day. I bought CDs at a higher rate. Problem is, I can't buy long term, cuz I (was) planning on buying a house in the next year.
@sleze69: Sounds pretty good.
But how's the stability of your job?
Think all of those lower-to-middle level, truly hardworking lifelong Bear Stearnies thought they were safe within their positions?
@EBounding: Yeah. I have a bunch of stock in Sirius. Unless the merger goes through...well...atleast I have a bunch of stock losses I can deduct.
Hmm. I have a few hundred shares of Nvidia, Novell and AMD. I've spent the better half of today trying to decide whether to sell them for about 1.5% more than I bought them for, or weather it out.
If the economy ever swings back up, I'll almost double my investment. If we hit a depression, I am screwed.
It's like deal or no deal, except nobody's cheering.
The rate cuts have trickled down to my equity line of credit, which a lot of people have. I also happen to have some I/O adj rate loans that I took out in 2004 and 2005 on investment properties so those payments (which had gone up considerably) have also fallen back down considerably. People chuckle when I mention these loans but I/o loand asn adjustable rate loans are still good choices in some situations. Overall using those loans did wind up saving me quite a bit of money over fixed loans (and when the rates are low, I apply any extra $ to the principle, event hough I dont have to). Just chiming in with a somewhat atypical experience than what we read a lot about...
@redhelix: Weather Weather Weather. There's nothing worse than a down market to fuel a decision to sell. Don't do it!
@unklegwar: You and me both. I'd love to boost the economy by buying my own place, but that's getting harder as they keep screwing my savings.
@B: I think it depends on who owns your loans. I consolidated once, and later another company told me that my current loan company "wouldn't release" them. Good rate, though, so I'm not complaining.
So will things get to the point where I can just get a HELOC at a lower rate than my mortgage and pay off my mortgage? Yes, I suppose I should just refinance at that point, but it doesn't sound as fun.
@Beerad:
If you were to see a HELOC at a lower rate than your current mortgage, you'd also see new mortgages at lower rates as well.
Typically, HELOCs are variable, and rest each month. Way less secure than an ARM, not to mention a fixed mortgage.
HELOANs can be fixed - I have no idea of the pros/cons of paying of a 1st mortgage with a 2nd
Fortunately, my bank is still giving me 4.85% APY interest on my checking account. They've been awesome about keeping my interest rate sky-high even with the Fed slashing interest left and right.
Of course, when I opened the account a year ago, the interest was at 5.85%. The bank kept that interest rate, even after the Fed had cut rates numerous times. When my bank finally cut a point off my rate, they sent me a signed letter of apology, saying they held off cutting my rate as long as they could. I'm still very happy with my current rate, I just hope they keep holding off cutting it again as they have before.
I love Emprise Bank.
I'm not really sure how these rate cuts help all the people that seem to be in a world of hurt. If your house is in foreclosure, this rate cut won't help. If you are paying 29.95% on your credit card this won't help. And if you lost your job this certainly won't help. I just think these cuts don't address the fundamental problems with the economy. Not that I have the answer.
Recession watch? How about the fact that we have positive GDP growth, productivity is up, GNP is up, unemployment is below 5%.
This is a period of stagflation. Its not complicated, and to those of you who will say, "a recession is based on the opinions of the individual, not rigid factors," put down the crack pipe. Economists look at certain economic indicators, and they all have to line up for us to be in a recession. An economists opinion should only be used when estimating where something will go (in the case at hand, of course). It is absolutely dumb to think that an economist can determine that we are in a recession without even taking a look at certain important economic numbers.
@stanfrombrooklyn: You guys don't get it! This rate cut isn't for credit card debt, its to send money into the economy. If people don't get much for their saving, they will take their money out of their accounts, and spend it elsewhere.
The Consumerist needs to get an actual economist on board.




















Queue the haters who still think we're still not in a recession... 3...2...1