Just Where The Hell Did All The iPhones Go?
Here's a problem: Apple says they've sold 3.7 million iPhones. AT&T says they've activated 2 million iPhones. Just where the hell are the rest of the iPhones?
The various theories get sort of complicated (taking into account European sales, etc.) but it boils down to this: Either there are a million unlocked iPhones out there, or the demand is not as high as Apple's numbers suggest and there are lots and lots of unsold phones sitting around on AT&T shelves.
Report: iPhones piling up at AT&T stores [CNET]
(Photo:epicharmus)
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Comments:
@arsenal4:
...make that 1.699997. I have a friend who bought one, but wants to wait until his current plan expires before activating it.
I hate it when people feign surprise about this. When the first million were sold, only half of them were activated. And that was back when you couldn't find them in stores and there was a 2-4 week wait on apple.com. So that's at least half a million that were sold on ebay to some rich kid in japan. Add to that, the fact that if you buy one, odds are you're enough of a fan to know how to jailbreak and unlock it.
Frankly, I wouldn't be surprised to find that AT&T weren't being wholly truthful about how many have been activated. There's a bit of a feud going on between Stevie boy and Phonezilla, what with Jobbs effectively pre-announcing the iPhone Redux with real 3G and extra magic coming Real Soon Now as punishment for some transgression on AT&Ts part (I forget what it was, which is annoying me), it wouldn't surprise me at all if AT&T wasn't really searching as hard as they might be to find activations to report. No sense in making it look more successful than it needs to, it's not their baby, they've already got all the exclusive they're going to anyway.
Steve has made it clear in the past that he regards cell carriers as being essentially a commodity, he doesn't see them as relevant, they just provide the network. Only reason he got in bed with Ma Bell was to get proper support for the visual voicemail and a stable launch network.
In my humble opinion anyway.
My buddy has an iPhone with AT&T and likes it. So he bought his fiance one and unlocked it so she can use it on t-mobile since her sidekick blows. She used it maybe a week and complained of it dropping calls due to the touch screen hitting her cheek. It now sits under her bed gathering dust and he is out the $300 or so he spent on it.
I just laugh....
@youbastid: iPhones aren't selling well overseas because theyre not 3G, so theyre probably arent that many unlocked ones either.
@NoWin: Why would he do that? It's not like they're running out. It's a technology item, it's bound to be outdated whenever he starts using it. Why not just wait until he's ready for it?
@mixerfx: It's not illegal to unlock a cell phone to use it with another carrier, according to current DMCA exemptions.
AT&T (like all other hardware and software manufactures)has an extensive distribution channel that includes, resellers, wholesale distributors and online distribution. As well, each of these can possibly sell nationally and internationally. For those working for large companies, how many of you know what your cahnnel numbers are at any given time? Let's forget that the almighty wizard who reported this crap to begin with is someone "outside" of AT&T calling in for "financial" imformation...let's get real. Anyone want to tell me there bank balances and purchase plans? How about your wife/husband's or girfriend/boyfriend's? It is easy to account for all the phones that are "posted" to Apple's books. And let's not forget, a sale is just that...one sold item. Once it is sold, who gives a rats @#$% where it is? Jesus! Does any other company get this kind of microscope???? How about "micro" soft? Anti-trust violations galore...I don't see anyone asking them to account for their XBox numbers!
Do you have to activate the iPhone? Can you buy one, put your AT&T sim chip in there, and go? What's "activation" do? I use iTunes every day. But I don't have an iPod. And I don't use the iTunes store. I use it to manage the several thousand MP3s I've ripped from CDs i already own. So I didn't register. Is there a reason to "activate" your phone?
Judging by the number of posts to Hackint0sh's iPhone forums, I'd say a huge huge huge number of the newer phones (>week 45) are sitting in wait for a software unlock; there are numerous individual posters who mentioned numbers in the 50+ range that they were working on hardware unlocking ... the 1/3rd estimate doesn't seem that off base to me.
erm, I think the other million of iPhones are circulating in the global market where proper retail versions of iPhones are not out. I'm from Hong Kong, but study in US right now and bought my friend in HK an iPhone upon his request and brought it back there.
My point is, the other million is imported to other countries and probably being cracked outside of US and UK.
Hmm.. What if someone bought an iphone, activated it, broke their iphone due to accident/abuse, then bought another iphone to replace it, and activated the new iphone under the old account? So it's possible ATT is counting unique account activations, both post-paid and pre-paid. And Apple is counting hardware units, but not counting the accounts tied to the phone. The remainder are probably unlocked phones that hit the grey market.
If your local supermarket sold 100 jars of peanut butter today, does it also mean they sold 100 jars of jelly and 100 loaves of bread? Of course not. This is just another lesson that we should take things with a grain of salt, when companies release "facts and figures" to the public.
@Meg Marco: "Just where the hell are the rest of the iPhones?"
I'm sure some of them are on T-mobile's network.






















I wouldn't be surprised if there were a million unlocked iPhones. Way more unlocked iPhones in the rest of the world than in the US.